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PoliticsOddsas of Jul 28, 23:01 UTC
Today’s featured market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Price history · Yes
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Where the platforms disagree
The same outcome, priced differently on different venues. The gap is the difference between the cheapest and the most expensive price we can see right now.
2028 Republican VP nominee
Kalshi 1% · Polymarket 20%
19 pt gapTrump 2026 Approval Rating - Low
Smarkets 27% · Polymarket 32%
5 pt gapWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?Limitless 7% · Kalshi 21%
14 pt gapAidan Mayo vs James DuckworthSmarkets 56% · Kalshi 62%
6 pt gapFormula 1: 2026 Constructors' ChampionPolymarket 10% · Gemini 14%
4 pt gapPrice gaps, not guaranteed profit · before fees · 18+
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